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Mon, 29 Sep 2014 20:51:12 GMT
- MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Erased Friday's Losses Early and Never Looked Back

Posted To: MBS Commentary

Bond markets were in the throes of a late overnight session rally by the time the domestic session began. The rally began at 6:30am Eastern time and continued steadily, with no regard for economic data , until 9am. The day essentially ended there as trading levels never got any better, but didn't lose enough ground to matter. 10yr yields held a range from 2.479 to 2.495 from 9am on. Fannie 3.5 MBS stayed between 102-09 and 102-13. In many ways, today's rally simply gets bonds back on track with the rally that's been underway for more than a week. Today's trading range is a logical extension of Friday's early trading range before the news hit regarding Bill Gross's PIMCO exit. It wouldn't necessarily have to be any more complicated than that, but if you want it to...(read more)

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Mon, 29 Sep 2014 19:19:00 GMT
mortgage rates, mortgage rate forecast, lifetime lows, all-time lows, mortgage rate commentary, daily mortgage rate forecast - Mortgage Rates Near 3-Week Lows

Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage rates fell at a healthy pace today, bringing them to the lowest levels since September 9th. Gains in bond markets help rates move lower and bond markets were stronger right from the outset today on a combination of factors. Determining the most prevalently-quoted conforming 30yr fixed rate for top tier borrowers is more of a toss up at current levels with 4.25% and 4.125% sharing roughly equal territory. Loan Originator Perspective "As long as we remain under 2.5% yield on the 10 yr treasury, I'm suggesting floating....for now. With a yield under that level, we've just reentered the long term downward trend channel. We'll need to see a few days worth of confirmation for me to be confident rates will continue lower, because this could just be a test and rates move right back up. Float...(read more)

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Mon, 29 Sep 2014 16:24:01 GMT
mortgage rates, mortgage rate forecast, lifetime lows, all-time lows, mortgage rate commentary, daily mortgage rate forecast - MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Calmly Holding Strong Overnight Gains

Posted To: MBS Commentary

MBS and Treasuries are both in distinctly stronger territory today after an overnight rally that reached it's zenith by 9am. There are quite a few factors to credit for the strength. In no particular order, these include: PIMCO/Gross correction. It stands to reason that Friday's bond market losses were a bit sharper than they otherwise might have been had it not been a Friday. Investors were trying to get ahead of the expected redemptions in the world's largest bond fund. The only available headlines on the topic this morning indicate less redemption demand than initially forecast. European Economic Data/ECB Frontrunning. Econ data and inflation were generally soft overnight in Europe. This didn't stoke any new rally demand, but kept the environment fertile for other factors...(read more)

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