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Fri, 24 Oct 2014 21:19:00 GMT
mortgage rates, mortgage rate forecast, lifetime lows, all-time lows, mortgage rate commentary, daily mortgage rate forecast - Mortgage Rates Mildly Lower; Volatile Week Ahead

Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage rates caught a break today and were able to ease just slightly lower heading into the weekend. This is somewhat refreshing because yesterday's bigger move higher was the kind of thing that historically results in further upward pressure. The gains weren't quite enough to get the average top tier rate quote back into the 3's for conforming, 30yr fixed loans. 3.875% and 3.75% remain viable for some borrowers looking to pay more money upfront in exchange for a lower monthly payment. In general though, 4.0% is the most prevalent quote today. As it stands, it looks like rates are finding some equilibrium heading into a series of significant events next week. The biggest potential for movement will be mid-week when the Fed likely announces an end to QE3, the 3rd round of quantitative easing...(read more)

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Fri, 24 Oct 2014 20:37:52 GMT
mortgage rates, mortgage rate forecast, lifetime lows, all-time lows, mortgage rate commentary, daily mortgage rate forecast - MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Coast Out Uneventfully After Morning Volatility

Posted To: MBS Commentary

Earlier today, competing short term trends and considerations made for several salient swings between gains and losses. While MBS and Treasuries never dipped meaningfully into negative territory on the day, they quickly gave up some fairly strong gains on at least 2 separate occasions. On top of that, the overnight session began with a swift move right out of the gate. Taken together, there was simply a good amount of movement and "lead changes." Around noon (just after the second bounce off the day's weakest levels), I put an overlay on the Treasury chart showing a potential consolidation into the close. The trendlines ran through 2.28 on the high end and 2.26 on the low end, which is "the gap" that we've been paying so much attention to this week. This is how things...(read more)

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Fri, 24 Oct 2014 17:18:19 GMT
mortgage rates, mortgage rate forecast, lifetime lows, all-time lows, mortgage rate commentary, daily mortgage rate forecast - MBS MID-DAY: Volatility Within a Range, but Little Change

Posted To: MBS Commentary

If today's bond market movements were a ball game, it would be the kind you like to see, with numerous lead changes , no runaway victory, and the home team leading going into the half. Bonds started out in stronger territory overnight as the NYC Ebola case was confirmed and global markets sympathized with the risk-off bid (i.e. stocks sold, bonds bought). The morning's most significant event hit just after US markets opened when sources said that 25 banks were set to fail the European Central Bank's stress test. Official results are expected on Sunday. Bond markets initially rallied on the news, but it was short-lived. While the news was big, it wasn't altogether unexpected. That brief, initial rally set the day's floor under bond yields and we've been weaker ever since...(read more)

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