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Tue, 23 Sep 2014 16:58:58 GMT
- Housing Struggling for Traction Fannie Mae says

Posted To: MND NewsWire

Fannie Mae's economists are painting a much improved picture for the economy in the coming months with encouraging news in the area of business investment, manufacturing, and business spending on structures. Despite the unexpected drop in consumer spending in July the company's economists, Doug Duncan, Orawin T. Velz, and Brian Hughes-Cromwick, expect growth "to moderate from the above-par pace of the second half of this year and average 2.5 percent for all of 2015, an acceleration from a projected 2.0 percent in 2014. However, given the strength expected going into next year, the 2.5 percent pace may be more of a lower bound on growth expectations." Housing however is a different story; it is "struggling to gain traction" the company's September forecast says. Activity improved at the beginning...(read more)

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Tue, 23 Sep 2014 16:43:27 GMT
- Home Price Deceleration Evident in Some Census Regions

Posted To: MND NewsWire

Home prices as measured by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) eked out another small increase in July, but monthly figures show a definite slowing in the rate of price increases. FHFA's Home Price Index (HPI) rose 0.1 percent compared to June, the eighth consecutive monthly increase. At the same time the agency revised downward its estimate of the June increase from the 0.4 percent originally reported to 0.3 percent. Home prices rose an estimated 4.4 percent from July 2013 through the end of July 2014. FHFA's index is calculated using home sales price information from mortgages either sold to or guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The index is roughly the same as in July 2005 and is 6.4 percent below the home price peak reached in April 2007. The monthly increase across the nine...(read more)

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Tue, 23 Sep 2014 16:29:19 GMT
- MBS MID-DAY: Just When You Thought it Couldn't Get Any More Sideways

Posted To: MBS Commentary

Once again, bond markets came into the domestic session at slightly stronger levels and have more or less flat-lined. Fannie 3.5s have held inside a 3/32nds range and 10yr yields have gone all morning without stepping outside a 1.5bp range (2.542 - 2.556). The strongest trading occurred overnight as European data was slightly weaker. Comments from European Central Bankers and geopolitical risk both played mild roles in hindering stocks and helping bonds. German Bunds hit their best levels just after 4am along with US Treasuries, and both have been moving just slightly weaker ever since. The economic data was a non-event as expected--at least in terms of market movement. One of the reports is still potentially interesting due to its industry connection. FHFA's home price data showed a steep...(read more)

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