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Thu, 24 Apr 2014 19:54:24 GMT
- MBS RECAP: Strong Again, This Time After Morning Head-Fake

Posted To: MBS Commentary

For the second straight day, MBS are coasting toward the close having held a narrow 4/32nds range for most of the day, having seen little, if any threat of major weakness. Today was a bit different than yesterday in that it started out in weaker territory. The weakness in Treasuries was fairly minimal overnight, but the stronger economic data at 8:30am took bond prices to new lows . 20 minutes later, the reversal was underway. By far and away, the most popular explanation out there is that the bond market strength and stock market weakness came courtesy of Ukraine-related headlines. There were a few stories circulating at the time, including word of "military drills" as well as press conference with Putin. That said, none of the headlines line up with the big market movements in any...(read more)

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Thu, 24 Apr 2014 19:06:00 GMT
mortgage rates, mortgage rate forecast, lifetime lows, all-time lows, mortgage rate commentary, daily mortgage rate forecast - Mortgage Rates Hold Steady Despite Stronger Data

Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage rates held were mostly sideways today. In cases where rate sheets differed from yesterday, the tendency was toward just slightly higher rates. The move was small enough that this would only affect the up-front cost component of most quotes, meaning the actual interest rate would be the same. The most prevalently quoted conforming 30yr fixed rate for best-case scenarios ( best-execution ) remains at 4.375% in most cases, though many lenders are better-priced at 4.5%. For a second straight day, the markets underlying mortgage rate changes had a paradoxical trading session in that they moved in the opposite direction of that suggested by the incoming data. When economic data is stronger than expected, interest rates tend to rise--all things being equal. This morning's economic data fits...(read more)

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Thu, 24 Apr 2014 16:28:20 GMT
mortgage rates, mortgage rate forecast, lifetime lows, all-time lows, mortgage rate commentary, daily mortgage rate forecast - Increasingly Optimistic Attitudes on Housing Market

Posted To: MND NewsWire

A new Gallup survey seems to indicate that Americans are falling in love with real estate again . The poll, conducted among over a thousand respondents this month, shows that 56 percent of Americans think the average price of a home in their local area will increase compared to only one-third who thought so two years ago and 21 percent, a survey low, in January 2011. Another 34 percent expect prices to remain at about the same level, leaving only 10 percent who believe prices will fall again. The current euphoria is not up to pre-crash standards, but is closing in on the peak 60 percent who expected appreciation in late 2006. The results were gathered by Gallup's annual Economy and Personal Finance poll, which has tracked Americans' perceptions of the housing market annually since 2005. In...(read more)

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